Japan · Polymarket arbitrage
Japan 2026 FIFA World Cup arbitrage
Live Polymarket odds for Japan winning the 2026 World Cup, group-stage opponents, and the per-match arbitrage angles the bot is watching.
Implied probability
1.8%
American odds
+5614
Confederation
AFC
Group F
Japan to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Yes
$0.018
Implied 1.8%
No
$0.983
Implied 98.3%
Resolves 7/20/2026
Group-stage matches for Japan
Group F opponents: Netherlands, Sweden, Tunisia
Frequently asked questions
- What are Japan's odds to win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- Japan is currently priced at 1.8% implied probability on Polymarket's "Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?" market — that's American odds of +5614. Odds update continuously as money moves.
- Which group is Japan in?
- Japan is in Group F of the 2026 FIFA World Cup, alongside Netherlands, Sweden, Tunisia.
- How does Polymarket arbitrage work on Japan markets?
- Polymarket lists multiple correlated markets for every World Cup contender — tournament winner, group winner, top scorer, exact-stage exit. When prices across these correlated markets break the no-arbitrage condition (best-asks summing below $1.00), there is a guaranteed-edge trade. The Polymarket Arbitrage Bot scans every Japan market continuously and fires Telegram + Discord alerts the moment net edge clears $7.62 per trade.
- Are Japan matches available on Polymarket per match?
- Polymarket lists per-match markets in the days before each fixture. PolyArb subscribers get the alert the moment a Japan per-match market goes live, plus every binary YES/NO mispricing across the tournament-winner and group-winner markets.
Catch Japan mispricings the second they appear
PolyArb scans every Japan market on Polymarket — match winner, exact-score, group-winner, top-scorer — and fires a Telegram + Discord alert the moment net edge clears $7.62 per trade.