Polymarket market analysis
Set 1 Winner: Tomljanovic vs Swan
Summary
This market refers to the tennis match between Ajla Tomljanovic and Katie Swan in the Birmingham, originally scheduled for June 1, 2026 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to “Tomljanovic” if Ajla Tomljanovic wins the first set. It will resolve to “Swan” if Katie Swan wins the first set. If the match begins but is not completed, and the first set is concluded with a winner determined, this market will resolve based on that completed set. If the first set is not completed for any reason, this market will resolve 50-50. If the match is canceled (not played at all) or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without play beginning, this market will resolve 50-50. Resolution will be based on official WTA Challenger match statistics.
Spread analysis
No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).
Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.
Outcomes
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Tomljanovic | 0.1% |
| Swan | 100.0% |
Price history
Last 7 days
Frequently asked questions
- What is this market about?
- Set 1 Winner: Tomljanovic vs Swan The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
- How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
- If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
- What are the fees?
- Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.