What is this market about?

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.

How does intra-market arbitrage work here?

If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.

Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.

Polymarket market analysis

Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week?

No edge

Ends Jun 8, 2026

24h Volume

$798

Liquidity

$857

Outcomes

Summary

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Donald Trump mentions the listed term between June 2, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and June 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once). A ‘mention’ will include any verbal mention which is recorded (audio or video) and publicly accessible. Written usages of terms (e.g. Truth Social posts, written statements, etc.) will not count toward this market's resolution. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. Videos posted on his social media which were filmed outside this market's time frame will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.

Spread analysis

No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).

Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.

Outcomes

Outcome	Best ask
Yes	77.5%
No	22.5%

Price history

Last 7 days

Open on Polymarket

Frequently asked questions

What is this market about?: Will Trump say "Ceasefire" this week? The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
How does intra-market arbitrage work here?: If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
What are the fees?: Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.