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Polymarket market analysis

UFC Fight Night: Jhonata Diniz vs. José Luiz (Heavyweight, Prelims)

No edge
Ends Jun 21, 2026
24h Volume
$180
Liquidity
$4,641
Outcomes
2

Summary

This market will resolve to "Jhonata Diniz" if Jhonata Diniz is officially declared the winner of the fight against José Luiz at UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi, scheduled for June 20, 2026. It will resolve to "José Luiz" if José Luiz is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond July 4, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC.

Spread analysis

No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).

Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.

Outcomes

OutcomeBest ask
Jhonata Diniz58.0%
José Luiz42.0%

Price history

Last 7 days

Open on Polymarket

Frequently asked questions

What is this market about?
UFC Fight Night: Jhonata Diniz vs. José Luiz (Heavyweight, Prelims) The market resolves on Jun 21, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
What are the fees?
Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.