Polymarket market analysis
Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale?
Summary
This market will resolve to “Yes” if total commitments for the ALIGN raise on Sonar exceeds the number specified in the title before the raise closes. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” The resolution source is the official Align raise page available at: https://sale.alignedlayer.com/ If the final commitment amount cannot be verified by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if relevant information becomes permanently unavailable within the market timeframe, this market will resolve to “No.” If the sale is extended before the official closing time, commitments made during the extended period will count toward resolution.
Spread analysis
No intra-market edge right now (sum of best asks is at or above $1.00).
Polymarket taker fees vary by category between 0% and 1.8%. Always confirm before sizing.
Outcomes
| Outcome | Best ask |
|---|---|
| Yes | 14.0% |
| No | 86.0% |
Price history
Last 7 days
Frequently asked questions
- What is this market about?
- Over $2M committed to the ALIGN public sale? The market resolves on Jul 1, 2026 based on the rules described on Polymarket.
- How does intra-market arbitrage work here?
- If the best-ask prices for every outcome sum to less than $1.00, you can buy each outcome and be guaranteed a $1.00 payout regardless of which one resolves YES.
- What are the fees?
- Polymarket taker fees on this category are typically between 0% and 1.8%. Confirm the live fee on Polymarket before placing orders.